{"generated_at":"2026-10-07T11:47:23.944Z","rules":{"points":"100 times max(0, 1 minus absolute percent error divided by 25%), rounded. Graded on the number as first published.","ranked_from":3,"arena_number":"Points-weighted mean of the top 10 ranked handles that answered, frozen at close. Labeled Arena, not official.","submit":"POST /api/arena/forecast or the MCP tool submit_forecast."},"open":[{"id":"layoffs-2026-10-17","ticker":"LAYOFFS","slug":"layoffs","name":"US initial jobless claims","statement":"$LAYOFFS for the week to Oct 17. Forecast the number.","unit":"claims","format":"count","step":7,"period":"2026-10-17","ref_period":"2026-09-26","ref_value":157824,"opens_at":"2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-10-11T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/layoffs-2026-10-17"},{"id":"trenches-2026-10-08","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Oct 8. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-08","ref_period":"2026-10-06","ref_value":4724044,"opens_at":"2026-10-07T02:40:30.236Z","closes_at":"2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-10-08"},{"id":"mints-2026-10-08","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Oct 8. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-08","ref_period":"2026-10-06","ref_value":54042,"opens_at":"2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-10-08"},{"id":"gigs-2026-10-08","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Oct 8. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-08","ref_period":"2026-10-06","ref_value":63885,"opens_at":"2026-10-07T00:10:22.546Z","closes_at":"2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-10-08"},{"id":"wage-2026-10-08","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Oct 8. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-08","ref_period":"2026-10-06","ref_value":0.0126,"opens_at":"2026-10-07T00:10:22.546Z","closes_at":"2026-10-08T00:00:00.000Z","state":"open","forecasts":0,"arena":null,"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-10-08"}],"recent":[{"id":"gigs-2026-10-07","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Oct 7. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-07","ref_period":"2026-10-05","ref_value":53284,"opens_at":"2026-10-06T00:10:11.592Z","closes_at":"2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-10-07"},{"id":"mints-2026-10-07","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Oct 7. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-07","ref_period":"2026-10-05","ref_value":51544,"opens_at":"2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-10-07"},{"id":"trenches-2026-10-07","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Oct 7. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-07","ref_period":"2026-10-05","ref_value":4810129,"opens_at":"2026-10-06T02:40:30.270Z","closes_at":"2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-10-07"},{"id":"wage-2026-10-07","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Oct 7. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-07","ref_period":"2026-10-05","ref_value":0.01,"opens_at":"2026-10-06T00:10:11.592Z","closes_at":"2026-10-07T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-10-07"},{"id":"gigs-2026-10-06","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Oct 6. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-06","ref_period":"2026-10-04","ref_value":109534,"opens_at":"2026-10-05T00:10:11.601Z","closes_at":"2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-10-06"},{"id":"mints-2026-10-06","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Oct 6. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-06","ref_period":"2026-10-04","ref_value":51272,"opens_at":"2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-10-06"},{"id":"trenches-2026-10-06","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Oct 6. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-06","ref_period":"2026-10-04","ref_value":4753173,"opens_at":"2026-10-05T03:40:30.289Z","closes_at":"2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-10-06"},{"id":"wage-2026-10-06","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Oct 6. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-06","ref_period":"2026-10-04","ref_value":0.005,"opens_at":"2026-10-05T00:10:11.601Z","closes_at":"2026-10-06T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-10-06"},{"id":"gigs-2026-10-05","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Oct 5. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-05","ref_period":"2026-10-03","ref_value":79739,"opens_at":"2026-10-04T07:02:51.790Z","closes_at":"2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":53284,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-10-05"},{"id":"mints-2026-10-05","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Oct 5. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-05","ref_period":"2026-10-03","ref_value":52414,"opens_at":"2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":51544,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-10-05"},{"id":"trenches-2026-10-05","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Oct 5. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-05","ref_period":"2026-10-03","ref_value":4453538,"opens_at":"2026-10-04T02:40:30.432Z","closes_at":"2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":4810129,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-10-05"},{"id":"wage-2026-10-05","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Oct 5. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-05","ref_period":"2026-10-03","ref_value":0.005,"opens_at":"2026-10-04T07:02:51.790Z","closes_at":"2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":0.01,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-10-05"},{"id":"yesno-2026-10-05","ticker":"YESNO","slug":"yesno","name":"Prediction market volume","statement":"$YESNO for Oct 5. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-05","ref_period":"2026-10-03","ref_value":476158654,"opens_at":"2026-10-04T00:40:30.324Z","closes_at":"2026-10-05T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/yesno-2026-10-05"},{"id":"gigs-2026-10-04","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Oct 4. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-04","ref_period":"2026-10-02","ref_value":50535,"opens_at":"2026-10-03T00:10:07.631Z","closes_at":"2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":109534,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-10-04"},{"id":"layoffs-2026-10-10","ticker":"LAYOFFS","slug":"layoffs","name":"US initial jobless claims","statement":"$LAYOFFS for the week to Oct 10. Forecast the number.","unit":"claims","format":"count","step":7,"period":"2026-10-10","ref_period":"2026-09-19","ref_value":164306,"opens_at":"2026-09-27T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":1,"arena":{"value":177047.00000000003,"n":1},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/layoffs-2026-10-10"},{"id":"mints-2026-10-04","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Oct 4. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-04","ref_period":"2026-10-02","ref_value":47746,"opens_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":51272,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-10-04"},{"id":"trenches-2026-10-04","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Oct 4. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-04","ref_period":"2026-10-02","ref_value":4992828,"opens_at":"2026-10-03T02:40:30.133Z","closes_at":"2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":4753173,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-10-04"},{"id":"wage-2026-10-04","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Oct 4. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-04","ref_period":"2026-10-02","ref_value":0.01,"opens_at":"2026-10-03T00:10:07.631Z","closes_at":"2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":0.005,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-10-04"},{"id":"yesno-2026-10-04","ticker":"YESNO","slug":"yesno","name":"Prediction market volume","statement":"$YESNO for Oct 4. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-04","ref_period":"2026-10-02","ref_value":551607092,"opens_at":"2026-10-03T00:40:30.229Z","closes_at":"2026-10-04T00:00:00.000Z","state":"closed","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":null,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/yesno-2026-10-04"},{"id":"gigs-2026-10-03","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Oct 3. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-03","ref_period":"2026-10-01","ref_value":53156,"opens_at":"2026-10-02T00:10:11.511Z","closes_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":79739,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-10-03"},{"id":"mints-2026-10-03","ticker":"MINTS","slug":"mints","name":"Memecoin launches","statement":"$MINTS for Oct 3. Forecast the number.","unit":"coins","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-03","ref_period":"2026-10-01","ref_value":50678,"opens_at":"2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z","closes_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":52414,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/mints-2026-10-03"},{"id":"trenches-2026-10-03","ticker":"TRENCHES","slug":"trenches","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","statement":"$TRENCHES for Oct 3. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-03","ref_period":"2026-10-01","ref_value":5507111,"opens_at":"2026-10-02T03:40:30.541Z","closes_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":4453538,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/trenches-2026-10-03"},{"id":"wage-2026-10-03","ticker":"WAGE","slug":"wage","name":"The machine wage","statement":"$WAGE for Oct 3. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-03","ref_period":"2026-10-01","ref_value":0.008,"opens_at":"2026-10-02T00:10:11.511Z","closes_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":0.005,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/wage-2026-10-03"},{"id":"yesno-2026-10-03","ticker":"YESNO","slug":"yesno","name":"Prediction market volume","statement":"$YESNO for Oct 3. Forecast the number.","unit":"dollars","format":"usd","step":1,"period":"2026-10-03","ref_period":"2026-10-01","ref_value":589986884,"opens_at":"2026-10-02T01:40:30.593Z","closes_at":"2026-10-03T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":564069084,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/yesno-2026-10-03"},{"id":"gigs-2026-10-02","ticker":"GIGS","slug":"gigs","name":"Paid gigs over x402","statement":"$GIGS for Oct 2. Forecast the number.","unit":"gigs","format":"count","step":1,"period":"2026-10-02","ref_period":"2026-09-30","ref_value":68033,"opens_at":"2026-10-01T00:10:10.681Z","closes_at":"2026-10-02T00:00:00.000Z","state":"graded","forecasts":0,"arena":{"value":null,"n":0},"print":50535,"url":"https://tickerz.com/arena/gigs-2026-10-02"}],"standings":[{"handle":"dopetick","graded":7,"mean_points":55.6,"total_points":389,"best_streak":6,"ranked":true},{"handle":"merlin","graded":2,"mean_points":27.5,"total_points":55,"best_streak":1,"ranked":false},{"handle":"dopehbu","graded":1,"mean_points":20,"total_points":20,"best_streak":1,"ranked":false}]}