{"generated_at":"2026-10-07T11:47:21.975Z","note":"Not advice.","indices":[{"ticker":"LAYOFFS","name":"US initial jobless claims","counts":"People filing a first claim for unemployment insurance in the week, added across the 50 states, DC, Puerto Rico and the Virgin Islands. Not seasonally adjusted. The week ends Saturday.","unit":"claims","cadence":"Weekly. The states' file lands about ten days after the week ends.","step":7,"period":"week","baseline":"weekly","source":{"name":"US Department of Labor, ETA 539 weekly claims file, state rows","url":"https://oui.doleta.gov/unemploy/claims.asp","terms":"US government work, public domain.","terms_url":null,"attribution":null},"latest":{"period":"2026-09-26","value":157824,"provisional":false,"change_pct":-3.9,"change_vs":"2026-09-19","score":0,"z":-1.3},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-09-26","value":157824,"score":0,"z":-1.3,"band":"Quiet"},"baseline_days":{"have":26,"need":14},"revised_days":0,"predict":{"on":true},"settlement":{"grade":"reference","why":"A government series. A venue can read the Department of Labor file directly and settle on it. Tickerz adds the score and the record, not the number.","manipulation":"Not practical. Moving a week means filing unemployment claims with state agencies, by the thousand.","fallback":"The states' file lands about ten days after the week ends. Until all 53 jurisdictions are in it, the week stays open. A week that never lands is void.","precision":"Whole claims, not seasonally adjusted, summed across 53 jurisdictions. The week ends Saturday. No rounding.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04","see_only":false},"linked":[],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/layoffs","spark":[{"period":"2026-03-07","value":206542,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-03-14","value":190279,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-03-21","value":186187,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-03-28","value":185628,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-04-04","value":200945,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-04-11","value":214377,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-04-18","value":205799,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-04-25","value":180055,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-05-02","value":179815,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-05-09","value":190941,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-05-16","value":185744,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-05-23","value":187669,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-05-30","value":188091,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-06-06","value":228433,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-06-13","value":220094,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-06-20","value":207532,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-06-27","value":214098,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-07-04","value":225637,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-07-11","value":245434,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-07-18","value":192834,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-07-25","value":176108,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-08-01","value":172053,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-08-08","value":188718,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-08-15","value":172476,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-08-22","value":169096,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-08-29","value":169778,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-05","value":177273,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-12","value":153097,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-19","value":164306,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-26","value":157824,"band":"Quiet"}]},{"ticker":"YESNO","name":"Prediction market volume","counts":"Dollars traded per day on Kalshi and Polymarket, added together, as DefiLlama counts each venue's notional volume.","unit":"dollars","cadence":"Daily, two days late","step":1,"period":"day","baseline":"daily","source":{"name":"DefiLlama, daily notional volume of Kalshi and Polymarket","url":"https://defillama.com/protocols/prediction-market","terms":"DefiLlama open API. Volumes are computed and published by DefiLlama; Tickerz adds the two venues once an hour.","terms_url":"https://api-docs.defillama.com/","attribution":"Volume figures are computed and published by DefiLlama."},"latest":{"period":"2026-10-03","value":686685202,"provisional":false,"change_pct":6.6,"change_vs":"2026-10-02","score":12,"z":1.3},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-10-03","value":686685202,"score":12,"z":1.3,"band":"Quiet"},"baseline_days":{"have":30,"need":14},"revised_days":127,"predict":{"on":true},"settlement":{"grade":"candidate","why":"Money traded on two venues, one regulated by the CFTC. Moving the number means trading, and paying the venues' fees, in public. Not for settlement yet: DefiLlama's terms bar commercial use without its written consent, and Kalshi's data terms bar building an index on its volume without Kalshi's. No source with clean terms has been found (checked Oct 5 2026).","manipulation":"Expensive. Adding a dollar of volume means trading a dollar of contracts on Kalshi or Polymarket.","fallback":"DefiLlama publishes a day about a day late and keeps filling it in for hours after. From Oct 6 2026 a day prints only once both venues also have the day after it, about two days late. Until then it stays open and nothing settles. A day that never lands is void.","precision":"US dollars of notional volume, as DefiLlama reports each venue, summed and rounded to the cent.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04, $YESNO rule v2 from 2026-10-06","see_only":false},"linked":["HOOD","ICE","CME","DKNG"],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/yesno","spark":[{"period":"2026-09-04","value":580343063,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-05","value":568889625,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-06","value":652342616,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-09-07","value":515766041,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-08","value":476556703,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-09","value":523247760,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-10","value":570306672,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-11","value":518816406,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-12","value":597773993,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-13","value":728409438,"band":"Rare"},{"period":"2026-09-14","value":674290053,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-15","value":534665659,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-16","value":567472898,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-17","value":561875555,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-18","value":581489746,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-19","value":697622827,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-09-20","value":857108770,"band":"Rare"},{"period":"2026-09-21","value":716733450,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-22","value":559822396,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-23","value":575452296,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-24","value":542942410,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-25","value":630373800,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-26","value":670941348,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-27","value":803511614,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-09-28","value":753711286,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-29","value":587514379,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-30","value":597690887,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-10-01","value":587616415,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-10-02","value":643891081,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-10-03","value":686685202,"band":"Quiet"}]},{"ticker":"TRENCHES","name":"Memecoin launchpad fees","counts":"Fees paid on memecoin launchpads per day, in dollars, added across thirteen launchpads on Solana, BNB Chain, Base, Tron and other chains, as DefiLlama counts them.","unit":"dollars","cadence":"Daily, one day late","step":1,"period":"day","baseline":"daily","source":{"name":"DefiLlama, daily fees by protocol, Launchpad category","url":"https://defillama.com/fees/chains","terms":"DefiLlama open API. Fees are computed and published by DefiLlama; Tickerz adds up the launchpads listed on this page once an hour.","terms_url":"https://api-docs.defillama.com/","attribution":"Fee figures are computed and published by DefiLlama."},"latest":{"period":"2026-10-06","value":4723907,"provisional":false,"change_pct":-1.8,"change_vs":"2026-10-05","score":15,"z":0.8},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-10-06","value":4723907,"score":15,"z":0.8,"band":"Quiet"},"baseline_days":{"have":30,"need":14},"revised_days":130,"predict":{"on":true},"settlement":{"grade":"candidate","why":"Fees are money paid on chain, so moving the number costs the fees themselves. Not for settlement yet: DefiLlama's terms bar commercial use without its written consent, and reading the thirteen launchpads' fees from their chains needs a node whose terms allow it (checked Oct 5 2026). The thirteen constituents are named on this page; a change to them is a new rulebook version.","manipulation":"Expensive. Adding a dollar to the day means paying a dollar in launchpad fees, in public.","fallback":"DefiLlama publishes a day about a day late. Until the day lands, it stays open and nothing settles. A day that never lands is void.","precision":"US dollars, as DefiLlama reports each launchpad, summed across the thirteen and rounded to the cent.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04","see_only":false},"linked":["HOOD","COIN","SOL","BNB","PUMP","BONK"],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/trenches","spark":[{"period":"2026-09-07","value":4100121,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-09-08","value":3519814,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-09","value":3926453,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-10","value":3373027,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-11","value":3224990,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-12","value":3090115,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-13","value":2899555,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-14","value":3406226,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-15","value":3633156,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-16","value":2919552,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-17","value":3496831,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-18","value":4108983,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-19","value":3647474,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-20","value":3977238,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-21","value":4921346,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-09-22","value":4727213,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-23","value":4118967,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-24","value":4183407,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-25","value":3779977,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-26","value":4344791,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-27","value":3606107,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-28","value":4153898,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-29","value":4957611,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-09-30","value":4710929,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-10-01","value":5511139,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-10-02","value":4994885,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-10-03","value":4453067,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-10-04","value":4753255,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-10-05","value":4809827,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-10-06","value":4723907,"band":"Quiet"}]},{"ticker":"MINTS","name":"Memecoin launches","counts":"New coins created on the pump.fun program per UTC day, counted by Tickerz from the Solana chain: one per successful create transaction on the program's mint authority. Graduations (curves that completed and moved to pump.fun's own exchange) print as a second line. Rulebook v0.1: finalized transactions only, each counted on the UTC day of its block time.","unit":"coins","cadence":"Hourly, from the chain","step":1,"period":"day","baseline":"daily","source":{"name":"Solana mainnet, the pump.fun program","url":"https://github.com/pump-fun/pump-public-docs","terms":"Public chain data read by Tickerz over the Solana JSON RPC. No vendor dataset. The count is Tickerz's own and is licensed by Tickerz.","terms_url":null,"attribution":null},"latest":{"period":"2026-10-07","value":22731,"provisional":true,"change_pct":-57.9,"change_vs":"2026-10-06","score":null,"z":null},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-10-06","value":54042,"score":30,"z":2.4,"band":"Normal"},"baseline_days":{"have":30,"need":14},"revised_days":0,"companion":{"ticker":"MINTS.GRADS","label":"Graduations","latest":703,"latest_complete":1812},"predict":{"on":true},"settlement":{"grade":"candidate","why":"Counted from the chain by Tickerz with no third party in the path, so the number is Tickerz's own to license. The count is of creates, not of coins that traded; rulebook v0.2 adds a survival filter and the graduation line already prints beside it.","manipulation":"Cheap for the raw count: creating a coin costs about a transaction fee, so a bot can push creates. The graduation line costs real liquidity to move. A venue should settle on the line the rulebook names.","fallback":"If the RPC is down the hour is retried on the next run and the day stays open, marked provisional, and nothing settles. A day is complete at 00:00 UTC; a day that cannot be read is void.","precision":"Whole coins, one per successful create transaction, counted on the UTC day of its block time.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04","see_only":false},"linked":["PUMP","SOL","BONK"],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/mints","spark":[{"period":"2026-09-07","value":27009,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-08","value":29513,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-09","value":34244,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-10","value":31210,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-11","value":28546,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-12","value":29017,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-13","value":24942,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-14","value":29766,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-15","value":34519,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-16","value":34305,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-17","value":39405,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-18","value":36352,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-19","value":32139,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-20","value":31037,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-21","value":34946,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-22","value":33238,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-23","value":34895,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-24","value":34920,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-25","value":35027,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-26","value":44085,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-09-27","value":38781,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-28","value":42579,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-29","value":43557,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-09-30","value":49583,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-10-01","value":50678,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-10-02","value":47746,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-10-03","value":52414,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-10-04","value":51272,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-10-05","value":51544,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-10-06","value":54042,"band":"Normal"}]},{"ticker":"GIGS","name":"Paid gigs over x402","counts":"Paid calls settled over x402 on Base, per UTC day, between paying wallets and the services they pay; whether a person, a script or an AI agent holds a wallet is not on the chain. Every USDC signed transfer (EIP-3009) on Base is counted from the chain; one transaction in sixteen, chosen by the low byte of keccak256(tx hash, block hash), is read in full. A payment counts when one of the 128 x402 facilitator wallets on the list settled it. A payer paying itself is left out. The level is the estimate, every signed transfer times the payments per sampled transaction; its 95% range prints beside it.","unit":"gigs","cadence":"Hourly, from the chain; a day prints once it is complete","step":1,"period":"day","baseline":"daily","source":{"name":"Base mainnet, USDC signed transfers settled by x402 facilitators","url":"https://www.x402.org/","terms":"Public chain data read by Tickerz over Base's public JSON RPC. No vendor dataset. The facilitator list is from Merit-Systems/x402scan (MIT License). The count is Tickerz's own and is licensed by Tickerz.","terms_url":null,"attribution":null},"latest":{"period":"2026-10-06","value":63885,"provisional":false,"change_pct":19.9,"change_vs":"2026-10-05","score":0,"z":-0.2},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-10-06","value":63885,"score":0,"z":-0.2,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":1128,"prior_days":21,"prior_median":924,"thin_line":646.8},"baseline_days":{"have":21,"need":14},"revised_days":15,"predict":{"on":true},"settlement":{"grade":"display","why":"Counted by Tickerz from the chain with no vendor in the path, but estimated from a one in sixteen sample on a free public node. It becomes a candidate when every transaction is read.","manipulation":"Moderate. A payment costs a transaction and the amount paid, so pushing thousands of fake gigs costs real money and shows up as a few payers with many calls.","fallback":"An hour the node cannot serve is retried on the next run and the day stays open, so nothing settles. A day is complete once its 24 hours are read; a day that cannot be read is void.","precision":"Whole gigs, rounded from the estimate, with the 95% range beside it. A day is marked thin when sampled paying wallets are under 70% of the median of the 28 complete days before it, once 14 earlier days are on file, and the level still prints.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04","see_only":false},"linked":["COIN"],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/gigs","spark":[{"period":"2026-09-15","value":44180,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":811,"prior_days":0,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-16","value":42313,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":732,"prior_days":1,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-17","value":61095,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":867,"prior_days":2,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-18","value":60975,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":917,"prior_days":3,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-19","value":72413,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1005,"prior_days":4,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-20","value":79301,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1042,"prior_days":5,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-21","value":47299,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":756,"prior_days":6,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-22","value":85708,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":883,"prior_days":7,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-23","value":249635,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1002,"prior_days":8,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-24","value":64000,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":985,"prior_days":9,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-25","value":53654,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":931,"prior_days":10,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-26","value":71496,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":937,"prior_days":11,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-27","value":101516,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1302,"prior_days":12,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-28","value":71334,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1100,"prior_days":13,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-29","value":82718,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":887,"prior_days":14,"prior_median":934,"thin_line":653.8},{"period":"2026-09-30","value":68033,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":828,"prior_days":15,"prior_median":931,"thin_line":651.6999999999999},{"period":"2026-10-01","value":53156,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":924,"prior_days":16,"prior_median":924,"thin_line":646.8},{"period":"2026-10-02","value":50535,"band":"Quiet","thin":true,"sampled_payers":609,"prior_days":17,"prior_median":924,"thin_line":646.8},{"period":"2026-10-03","value":79739,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":810,"prior_days":18,"prior_median":920.5,"thin_line":644.3499999999999},{"period":"2026-10-04","value":109534,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":1225,"prior_days":19,"prior_median":917,"thin_line":641.9},{"period":"2026-10-05","value":53284,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":999,"prior_days":20,"prior_median":920.5,"thin_line":644.3499999999999},{"period":"2026-10-06","value":63885,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":1128,"prior_days":21,"prior_median":924,"thin_line":646.8}],"thin_day":{"share":0.7,"lookback":28,"min_history":14,"rule":"under_share_of_prior_median","source":"machine_days.payers","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04"}},{"ticker":"WAGE","name":"The machine wage","counts":"What a paying wallet paid per call, per UTC day: the payer-balanced median price of a settled x402 payment on Base. Each payer's median price first, weighted by its calls, then the median across payers, so one wallet firing thousands of calls counts once. From October 5 2026 (rule v2) the payers of any one service hold at most 5% of that vote, so a fleet of wallets paying one service cannot set it either; days before keep their print. The 25th and 75th percentiles print beside it, on the same vote. Every USDC signed transfer (EIP-3009) on Base is counted from the chain; one transaction in sixteen, chosen by the low byte of keccak256(tx hash, block hash), is read in full. A payment counts when one of the 128 x402 facilitator wallets on the list settled it. A payer paying itself is left out. No level prints on a day with fewer than 50 payers in the sample.","unit":"dollars","cadence":"Hourly, from the chain; a day prints once it is complete","step":1,"period":"day","baseline":"daily","source":{"name":"Base mainnet, USDC signed transfers settled by x402 facilitators","url":"https://www.x402.org/","terms":"Public chain data read by Tickerz over Base's public JSON RPC. No vendor dataset. The facilitator list is from Merit-Systems/x402scan (MIT License). The count is Tickerz's own and is licensed by Tickerz.","terms_url":null,"attribution":null},"latest":{"period":"2026-10-06","value":0.0126,"provisional":false,"change_pct":26,"change_vs":"2026-10-05","score":10,"z":0.4},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-10-06","value":0.0126,"score":10,"z":0.4,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":1128,"prior_days":21,"prior_median":924,"thin_line":646.8},"baseline_days":{"have":21,"need":14},"revised_days":2,"predict":{"on":true},"settlement":{"grade":"display","why":"A median of settled prices read from the chain by Tickerz, the machine version of a wage. Payer balanced, so one busy wallet cannot set it. Under rule v1 many small wallets paying one service could: on Oct 3 one service's $0.001 payers printed $0.0050, against $0.0102 without them. Rule v2 holds any one service's payers to 5% of the vote. Estimated from a sample until the full count runs.","manipulation":"Moderate. Moving the median takes many distinct paying wallets, each paying real money, spread across many services: one service's payers count for at most 5% of the vote.","fallback":"An hour the node cannot serve is retried on the next run and the day stays open, so nothing settles. A day with fewer than 50 sampled payers prints no level and is void.","precision":"US dollars to six decimals, the unit USDC settles in. A day is marked thin when sampled paying wallets are under 70% of the median of the 28 complete days before it, once 14 earlier days are on file, and the level still prints. Fewer than 50 still prints no level.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04, $WAGE rule v2 from 2026-10-05","see_only":false},"linked":["COIN"],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/wage","spark":[{"period":"2026-09-15","value":0.005,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":811,"prior_days":0,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-16","value":0.003214,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":732,"prior_days":1,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-17","value":0.01,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":867,"prior_days":2,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-18","value":0.01,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":917,"prior_days":3,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-19","value":0.02,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1005,"prior_days":4,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-20","value":0.02,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1042,"prior_days":5,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-21","value":0.003658,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":756,"prior_days":6,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-22","value":0.005179,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":883,"prior_days":7,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-23","value":0.004224,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1002,"prior_days":8,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-24","value":0.01,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":985,"prior_days":9,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-25","value":0.01,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":931,"prior_days":10,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-26","value":0.005827,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":937,"prior_days":11,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-27","value":0.02,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1302,"prior_days":12,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-28","value":0.01,"band":null,"thin":null,"sampled_payers":1100,"prior_days":13,"prior_median":null,"thin_line":null},{"period":"2026-09-29","value":0.005902,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":887,"prior_days":14,"prior_median":934,"thin_line":653.8},{"period":"2026-09-30","value":0.01,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":828,"prior_days":15,"prior_median":931,"thin_line":651.6999999999999},{"period":"2026-10-01","value":0.008,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":924,"prior_days":16,"prior_median":924,"thin_line":646.8},{"period":"2026-10-02","value":0.01,"band":"Quiet","thin":true,"sampled_payers":609,"prior_days":17,"prior_median":924,"thin_line":646.8},{"period":"2026-10-03","value":0.005,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":810,"prior_days":18,"prior_median":920.5,"thin_line":644.3499999999999},{"period":"2026-10-04","value":0.005,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":1225,"prior_days":19,"prior_median":917,"thin_line":641.9},{"period":"2026-10-05","value":0.01,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":999,"prior_days":20,"prior_median":920.5,"thin_line":644.3499999999999},{"period":"2026-10-06","value":0.0126,"band":"Quiet","thin":false,"sampled_payers":1128,"prior_days":21,"prior_median":924,"thin_line":646.8}],"thin_day":{"share":0.7,"lookback":28,"min_history":14,"rule":"under_share_of_prior_median","source":"machine_days.payers","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04"}},{"ticker":"JOBS","name":"US nonfarm payrolls","counts":"The monthly change in total nonfarm payroll employment in the United States, seasonally adjusted, in jobs. The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the level in thousands. This index stores the change from the previous month, in jobs.","unit":"jobs","cadence":"Monthly. The Bureau publishes at 8:30 ET, usually the first Friday. Read at 12:35, 13:35 and 14:35 UTC on weekdays.","step":"month","period":"month","baseline":"monthly","source":{"name":"US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Employment Statistics, series CES0000000001","url":"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CES0000000001","terms":"US government work, public domain.","terms_url":"https://www.bls.gov/bls/linksite.htm","attribution":null},"latest":{"period":"2026-09-01","value":29000,"provisional":false,"change_pct":null,"change_vs":"2026-08-01","score":0,"z":-0.1},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-09-01","value":29000,"score":0,"z":-0.1,"band":"Quiet"},"baseline_days":{"have":23,"need":12},"revised_days":0,"predict":{"on":false,"why":"Calls stay off until Tickerz has read a month on the day it was published. History loaded at launch is the Bureau's current figure, not the number as first published."},"settlement":{"grade":"reference","why":"The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the number, and a venue can read it. Tickerz keeps the first number of each month it reads at release. The Bureau revises the prior two months with each release and benchmarks payrolls once a year.","manipulation":"Not practical. Moving the month means changing the establishment survey the Bureau runs.","fallback":"A month that has not been published stays open. A month the Bureau never publishes is void. A revision is shown beside the number as first published.","precision":"Whole jobs. The Bureau publishes the level in thousands. The index is this month's level minus the previous month's level in the same release, times 1,000.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04","see_only":false},"linked":[],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/jobs","spark":[{"period":"2024-10-01","value":33000,"band":null},{"period":"2024-11-01","value":134000,"band":null},{"period":"2024-12-01","value":237000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-01-01","value":-48000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-02-01","value":42000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-03-01","value":67000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-04-01","value":108000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-05-01","value":13000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-06-01","value":-20000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-07-01","value":64000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-08-01","value":-70000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-09-01","value":76000,"band":null},{"period":"2025-10-01","value":-140000,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2025-11-01","value":41000,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2025-12-01","value":-17000,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-01-01","value":160000,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-02-01","value":-156000,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-03-01","value":214000,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-04-01","value":148000,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-05-01","value":63000,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-06-01","value":31000,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-07-01","value":-10000,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-08-01","value":133000,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-01","value":29000,"band":"Quiet"}]},{"ticker":"UNEMP","name":"US unemployment rate","counts":"The US unemployment rate, U-3, seasonally adjusted, in percent to one decimal.","unit":"percent","cadence":"Monthly. The Bureau publishes at 8:30 ET, with the employment situation. Read at 12:35, 13:35 and 14:35 UTC on weekdays.","step":"month","period":"month","baseline":"monthly","source":{"name":"US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Current Population Survey, series LNS14000000","url":"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/LNS14000000","terms":"US government work, public domain.","terms_url":"https://www.bls.gov/bls/linksite.htm","attribution":null},"latest":{"period":"2026-09-01","value":4.2,"provisional":false,"change_pct":null,"change_vs":"2026-08-01","score":2,"z":-0.7},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-09-01","value":4.2,"score":2,"z":-0.7,"band":"Quiet"},"baseline_days":{"have":22,"need":12},"revised_days":0,"predict":{"on":false,"why":"Calls stay off until Tickerz has read a month on the day it was published. History loaded at launch is the Bureau's current figure, not the number as first published."},"settlement":{"grade":"reference","why":"The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the rate, and a venue can read it. Tickerz keeps the first number of each month it reads at release. The Bureau does not revise the rate month to month. It sets the seasonal factors again each January, and that can move the last five years.","manipulation":"Not practical. Moving the month means changing the household survey the Bureau runs.","fallback":"A month that has not been published stays open. A month the Bureau never publishes is void. A revision is shown beside the number as first published.","precision":"Percent, one decimal, as published.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04","see_only":false},"linked":[],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/unemp","spark":[{"period":"2024-10-01","value":4.1,"band":null},{"period":"2024-11-01","value":4.2,"band":null},{"period":"2024-12-01","value":4.1,"band":null},{"period":"2025-01-01","value":4,"band":null},{"period":"2025-02-01","value":4.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-03-01","value":4.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-04-01","value":4.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-05-01","value":4.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-06-01","value":4.1,"band":null},{"period":"2025-07-01","value":4.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-08-01","value":4.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-09-01","value":4.4,"band":null},{"period":"2025-11-01","value":4.5,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2025-12-01","value":4.4,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-01-01","value":4.3,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-02-01","value":4.4,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-03-01","value":4.3,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-04-01","value":4.3,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-05-01","value":4.3,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-06-01","value":4.2,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-07-01","value":4.1,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-08-01","value":4.1,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-09-01","value":4.2,"band":"Quiet"}]},{"ticker":"CPI","name":"US CPI, month over month","counts":"The month over month percent change in the US Consumer Price Index for all urban consumers, seasonally adjusted, one decimal, computed from the published index.","unit":"percent","cadence":"Monthly. The Bureau publishes at 8:30 ET, usually the second week. Read at 12:35, 13:35 and 14:35 UTC on weekdays.","step":"month","period":"month","baseline":"monthly","source":{"name":"US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index, series CUSR0000SA0","url":"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0","terms":"US government work, public domain.","terms_url":"https://www.bls.gov/bls/linksite.htm","attribution":null},"latest":{"period":"2026-08-01","value":0.4,"provisional":false,"change_pct":null,"change_vs":"2026-07-01","score":12,"z":0.7},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-08-01","value":0.4,"score":12,"z":0.7,"band":"Quiet"},"baseline_days":{"have":20,"need":12},"revised_days":0,"predict":{"on":false,"why":"Calls stay off until Tickerz has read a month on the day it was published. History loaded at launch is the Bureau's current figure, not the number as first published."},"settlement":{"grade":"reference","why":"The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the index, and a venue can read it. Tickerz keeps the first percent change of each month it reads at release. The Bureau sets the seasonal factors again each February and revises the last five years of the seasonally adjusted index.","manipulation":"Not practical. Moving the month means changing the prices the Bureau collects.","fallback":"A month that has not been published stays open. A month the Bureau never publishes is void. A revision is shown beside the number as first published.","precision":"Percent, one decimal, half away from zero, computed from the index the Bureau publishes to three decimals. The Bureau's public API carries the index and not the percent change, so a venue should check the figure against the Bureau's release.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04","see_only":false},"linked":[],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/cpi","spark":[{"period":"2024-10-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2024-11-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2024-12-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-01-01","value":0.4,"band":null},{"period":"2025-02-01","value":0.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-03-01","value":0,"band":null},{"period":"2025-04-01","value":0.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-05-01","value":0.1,"band":null},{"period":"2025-06-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-07-01","value":0.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-08-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-09-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-12-01","value":0.3,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-01-01","value":0.2,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-02-01","value":0.3,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-03-01","value":0.9,"band":"Rare"},{"period":"2026-04-01","value":0.6,"band":"Normal"},{"period":"2026-05-01","value":0.5,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-06-01","value":-0.4,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-07-01","value":0.1,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-08-01","value":0.4,"band":"Quiet"}]},{"ticker":"CORECPI","name":"US core CPI, month over month","counts":"The month over month percent change in the US Consumer Price Index for all items less food and energy, seasonally adjusted, one decimal, computed from the published index.","unit":"percent","cadence":"Monthly. The Bureau publishes at 8:30 ET, with the Consumer Price Index. Read at 12:35, 13:35 and 14:35 UTC on weekdays.","step":"month","period":"month","baseline":"monthly","source":{"name":"US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Consumer Price Index, series CUSR0000SA0L1E","url":"https://data.bls.gov/timeseries/CUSR0000SA0L1E","terms":"US government work, public domain.","terms_url":"https://www.bls.gov/bls/linksite.htm","attribution":null},"latest":{"period":"2026-08-01","value":0.3,"provisional":false,"change_pct":null,"change_vs":"2026-07-01","score":11,"z":0.7},"latest_complete":{"period":"2026-08-01","value":0.3,"score":11,"z":0.7,"band":"Quiet"},"baseline_days":{"have":20,"need":12},"revised_days":0,"predict":{"on":false,"why":"Calls stay off until Tickerz has read a month on the day it was published. History loaded at launch is the Bureau's current figure, not the number as first published."},"settlement":{"grade":"reference","why":"The Bureau of Labor Statistics publishes the index, and a venue can read it. Tickerz keeps the first percent change of each month it reads at release. The Bureau sets the seasonal factors again each February and revises the last five years of the seasonally adjusted index.","manipulation":"Not practical. Moving the month means changing the prices the Bureau collects.","fallback":"A month that has not been published stays open. A month the Bureau never publishes is void. A revision is shown beside the number as first published.","precision":"Percent, one decimal, half away from zero, computed from the index the Bureau publishes to three decimals. The Bureau's public API carries the index and not the percent change, so a venue should check the figure against the Bureau's release.","version":"Rulebook v0.2, 2026-10-04","see_only":false},"linked":[],"url":"https://oracle.tickerz.com/x/corecpi","spark":[{"period":"2024-10-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2024-11-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2024-12-01","value":0.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-01-01","value":0.4,"band":null},{"period":"2025-02-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-03-01","value":0.1,"band":null},{"period":"2025-04-01","value":0.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-05-01","value":0.1,"band":null},{"period":"2025-06-01","value":0.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-07-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-08-01","value":0.3,"band":null},{"period":"2025-09-01","value":0.2,"band":null},{"period":"2025-12-01","value":0.2,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-01-01","value":0.3,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-02-01","value":0.2,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-03-01","value":0.2,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-04-01","value":0.4,"band":"Elevated"},{"period":"2026-05-01","value":0.2,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-06-01","value":0,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-07-01","value":0.2,"band":"Quiet"},{"period":"2026-08-01","value":0.3,"band":"Quiet"}]}]}